I saw this headline today:
AP/YAHOO Poll of 873 Democrats; 650 Republicans shows OBAMA 44%, MCCAIN 42%…
I suppose people see this as “wow, look how close the election is!” But I see it as something different.
The people polled here are 57% Democrat, and 43% Republican. But the votes are 44% & 42%. Looks like a lot of democrats are not interested in voting for Obama. 13% of them, in fact. I think that’s quite an interesting thing. Why don’t they want to vote for their candidate?
I would expect to see the results of this poll something like 60% Obama, 35% McCain, based on the initial demographics of those polled. But it’s nothing like that.
I think McCain has a much larger percentage of the vote than the polls give him credit for.